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Anxiety DisordersNCT07903246

A Prospective Study of Anxiety, Depression, and Bipolar Disorder in People

An observational study of Anxiety Disorders and Depressive Disorder, run by Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine at 1 site in China.

Recruiting

Looking for participants now. Contact the study team or a site below to ask about taking part.

Sites and contacts
Official record
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Trial summary

This study aims to understand how anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, and bipolar disorder change over time and to identify patterns that may help with earlier recognition, diagnosis, and prediction of future symptoms. Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 12 to 55 yearsHealthy volunteers can take part
How many people
2,690 participants
Where
1 siteChina
Study dates
15 Sep 2026to 31 Dec 2030
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
Not yet: the study is under way

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 12 to 55 years
  • All sexes
  • Healthy volunteers accepted
  • Child, Adult

Study population: Participants aged 12-55 years will be recruited across participating hospitals in Zhejiang Province, China, through outpatient referrals and public recruitment announcements, including WeChat public-account posts. The study population comprises individuals with DSM-5 anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, or bipolar I or II disorder, and healthy volunteers meeting the control-group eligibility criteria. Enrollment will occur on a rolling basis. The planned sample includes 1,590 participants in the model development cohort and 1,100 participants in a separate independent validation cohort. Each participant will be followed for 36 months after baseline.

Who may be able to join

  • General criteria for all groups:
  • Age 12 to 55 years, inclusive, of any sex.
  • Education at or above the third-grade primary school level.
  • Voluntary participation with written informed consent. For participants younger than 18 years, written informed consent from a legal guardian and the participant's assent, when capable, are required. For participants with impaired consent capacity, consent will be obtained from the participant and/or legal guardian as specified in the protocol.
  • Anxiety disorders group:
  • Meet DSM-5 diagnostic criteria for one or more anxiety spectrum disorders.
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  • Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale (HAMA-14) total score of at least 14.
  • Normal intellectual functioning, vision, and hearing.
  • Depressive disorders group:
  • Meet DSM-5 diagnostic criteria for one or more depressive disorders.
  • Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD-17) total score of at least 17.
  • Normal intellectual functioning, vision, and hearing.
  • Bipolar disorder group:
  • Meet DSM-5 diagnostic criteria for bipolar I or bipolar II disorder.
  • Not currently experiencing a manic episode.
  • Normal intellectual functioning, vision, and hearing.
  • Healthy control group:
  • Normal or corrected-to-normal vision.
  • Good physical health, without serious physical illness or chronic disease.
  • Normal cognitive functioning.
  • No family history of mental illness across three generations on either the maternal or paternal side.

Who cannot join

  • The following criteria apply to all groups:
  • Failure to meet the inclusion criteria for the relevant group, or meeting DSM-5 criteria for a mental disorder other than those targeted by this study.
  • Current risk of dangerous behavior, rated as level 2 or above on the dangerousness assessment specified in the protocol.
  • Severe agitation, oppositional behavior, or markedly reduced volition or activity that prevents completion of the assessments.
  • Current or previous organic brain disease, a history of epilepsy, or a history of traumatic brain injury.
  • A history of drug or substance abuse, including tobacco, alcohol, or other psychoactive substances.
Show all 13Show fewer
  • Cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, respiratory, or neurological disease; infectious disease; other serious physical illness; or a pathological condition that may cause cognitive impairment.
  • Limb disability or inability to make the required button-press responses using the upper limbs.
  • Pregnancy or breastfeeding.
  • Electroconvulsive therapy, transcranial magnetic stimulation, alternating-current or direct-current electrical stimulation, vagus nerve stimulation, or deep brain stimulation within the previous 6 months.
  • Metal implants or other metallic objects that cannot be safely removed and prevent safe magnetic resonance imaging.
  • Red-green color blindness.
  • Any other condition that, in the investigator's judgment, makes participation unsuitable.

Trial locations and contacts

1 site in 1 country. Contact the study team or a site near you to ask about taking part.

China1 site, 1 recruiting
  • The Second Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University

    Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 313000

    Human Subject Research Ethics Committee, +86057187783759, keyanlunli_zheer@163.com

    Recruiting

Other trials in China

About this study

Official title: A Prospective Cohort Study of Emotion-Related Disorders

This study aims to understand how anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, and bipolar disorder change over time and to identify patterns that may help with earlier recognition, diagnosis, and prediction of future symptoms.

The study will enroll approximately 2,690 participants aged 12 to 55 years across multiple hospitals in China. Participants will include people with anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, or bipolar disorder, as well as healthy volunteers for comparison.

Read more

Participants will be followed for 3 years after enrollment, with assessments at baseline and at 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months. Study assessments will collect information about symptoms, treatment, daily functioning, and quality of life. Other study data will include biological samples, brain imaging, recordings of brain electrical activity, and measurements from wearable devices and tasks involving speech, facial expressions, and eye movements.

Researchers will examine how these measurements relate to symptoms and changes in health over time. They will also develop and evaluate artificial intelligence models intended to help identify these disorders and predict treatment outcomes, relapse, and suicide or self-harm risk.

This is an observational study. The researchers will not assign treatments or change participants' treatment as part of the study. Treatments received during routine clinical care will be recorded.

Read the detailed description

This multicenter prospective cohort study will establish a standardized research database integrating clinical assessments, biological samples, neuroimaging, electroencephalography, and digital measurements in participants with anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, bipolar disorder, and healthy controls.

Enrollment will occur on a rolling basis, and follow-up visits will be scheduled relative to each participant's baseline assessment. Each participant will be followed for 36 months unless they withdraw or otherwise discontinue participation.

The study comprises two stages. The model development cohort will include 1,590 participants: 380 with anxiety disorders, 380 with depressive disorders, 380 with bipolar disorder, and 450 healthy controls. A separate independent validation cohort will include 1,100 participants, with 275 in each of the four groups. This second cohort will be used to evaluate model discrimination, sensitivity, specificity, calibration, and generalizability across centers.

The research database will integrate clinical and psychosocial information with biological samples for multi-omics analyses, structural and functional magnetic resonance imaging, diffusion tensor imaging, 64-channel electroencephalography, and digital measurements from wearable devices, speech, facial expressions, and eye movements. Standardized data collection procedures and longitudinal tracking will support comparisons across groups, centers, and assessment time points.

Analyses will investigate associations between these measurements and clinical characteristics, symptom trajectories, treatment outcomes, relapse, and suicide or self-harm risk. Longitudinal analyses will also explore how biological changes interact with environmental and psychosocial factors. Statistical approaches will include multivariable analyses, mixed-effects models, survival analyses, structural equation modeling, and machine learning, as appropriate to the research question.

The study will develop and independently validate multimodal artificial intelligence models for early recognition and diagnostic support, and explore models for predicting treatment outcomes, relapse, and suicide or self-harm risk. Model development and evaluation are research activities within this observational cohort; no treatment is assigned by the study protocol.

Keywords
Prospective Cohort Study, Digital Phenotyping, Multimodal Data, Artificial Intelligence, Multi-Omics, Neuroimaging, Electroencephalography, Wearable Devices
Medical subject headings
Anxiety Disorders, Depressive Disorder, Bipolar Disorder

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

Study groups in NCT07903246
Study groupRoleWhat they receive
Anxiety DisordersParticipants aged 12-55 years who meet DSM-5 criteria for one or more anxiety disorders and have a Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale (HAMA-14) total score of at least 14. Planned enrollment is 655 participants: 380 in the model development cohort and 275 in the independent validation cohort. Participants will undergo baseline assessments and follow-up at 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months. No treatment is assigned by the study; routine clinical care and treatment received will be recorded.
Depressive DisordersParticipants aged 12-55 years who meet DSM-5 criteria for a depressive disorder and have a 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD-17) total score of at least 17. This group includes participants with and without a history of suicide attempts or self-harm. Planned enrollment is 655 participants: 380 in the model development cohort and 275 in the independent validation cohort. Participants will undergo baseline assessments and follow-up at 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months. No treatment is assigned by the study; routine clinical care and treatment received will be recorded.
Bipolar DisorderParticipants aged 12-55 years who meet DSM-5 criteria for bipolar I or bipolar II disorder and are not experiencing a manic episode at enrollment. Planned enrollment is 655 participants: 380 in the model development cohort and 275 in the independent validation cohort. Participants will undergo baseline assessments and follow-up at 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months. No treatment is assigned by the study; routine clinical care and treatment received will be recorded.
Healthy ControlsHealthy participants aged 12-55 years who meet the protocol-defined eligibility criteria for the control group, including normal cognitive functioning, no serious physical or chronic disease, and no family history of mental illness across three generations on either the maternal or paternal side. Planned enrollment is 725 participants: 450 in the model development cohort and 275 in the independent validation cohort. Participants will undergo baseline assessments and follow-up at 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months. No treatment is assigned by the study.

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Macro-Averaged Area Under the ROC Curve of the Multimodal Digital Phenotyping-Based Diagnostic Model in the Independent Validation Cohort

    The model will use multimodal digital phenotyping data to identify three diagnostic labels: depressive disorders, anxiety disorders, and bipolar disorder. Reference diagnoses will be established by psychiatrists using MINI interviews and clinical diagnostic assessment. Co-occurring diagnoses will be represented according to diagnostic criteria, allowing anxiety disorders to coexist with depressive or bipolar disorders. An area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) will be calculated separately for each label. The primary measure will be the unweighted mean of the three label-specific AUCs. Healthy controls will be negative for all three labels. AUC ranges from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating better discrimination. A 95% confidence interval will be calculated using bootstrap resampling. Feature selection, tuning, and training will be completed in the development cohort, and the model will be locked before independent validation.

    Measured: Baseline (at enrollment in the independent validation cohort).

  2. Change From Baseline in 17-Item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD-17) Score

    Depressive symptom severity will be assessed using the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD-17). Total scores range from 0 to 52, with higher scores indicating more severe depressive symptoms. The outcome is the change in total score at each follow-up assessment relative to baseline, calculated as the follow-up score minus the baseline score. Results will be analyzed separately for the depressive disorders group and the bipolar disorder group. Negative changes indicate improvement.

    Measured: Baseline and 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months after baseline.

  3. Change From Baseline in 14-Item Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale (HAMA-14) Score

    Anxiety symptom severity will be assessed using the 14-item Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale (HAMA-14). Each item is scored from 0 to 4, yielding a total score from 0 to 56. Higher scores indicate more severe anxiety symptoms. The outcome is the change in total score at each follow-up assessment relative to baseline, calculated as the follow-up score minus the baseline score. Negative changes indicate improvement.

    Measured: Baseline and 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months after baseline.

  4. Change From Baseline in Bech-Rafaelsen Mania Rating Scale (BRMS) Score in the Bipolar Disorder Group

    Manic symptom severity in participants with bipolar disorder will be assessed using the 11-item Bech-Rafaelsen Mania Rating Scale (BRMS). Each item is scored from 0 to 4, yielding a total score from 0 to 44. Higher scores indicate more severe manic symptoms. The outcome is the change in total score at each follow-up assessment relative to baseline, calculated as the follow-up score minus the baseline score. Negative changes indicate improvement.

    Measured: Baseline and 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months after baseline.

Secondary outcomes (8)
  1. Sensitivity of the Diagnostic Model in the Independent Validation Cohort

    Sensitivity will be calculated separately for the depressive disorder, anxiety disorder, and bipolar disorder labels, with reference diagnoses established by psychiatrists using MINI interviews and clinical diagnostic assessment. Each label will be evaluated as a separate binary outcome, allowing co-occurring diagnoses according to diagnostic criteria. Sensitivity is the number of true positives divided by the sum of true positives and false negatives. Values range from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating better sensitivity. Each estimate will be reported with a 95% confidence interval. The model and label-specific classification thresholds will be fixed using the development cohort before independent validation and will not be adjusted using validation data.

    Measured: Baseline (at enrollment in the independent validation cohort).

  2. Specificity of the Diagnostic Model in the Independent Validation Cohort

    Specificity will be calculated separately for the depressive disorder, anxiety disorder, and bipolar disorder labels, with reference diagnoses established by psychiatrists using MINI interviews and clinical diagnostic assessment. Each label will be evaluated as a separate binary outcome, allowing co-occurring diagnoses according to diagnostic criteria. Specificity is the number of true negatives divided by the sum of true negatives and false positives. Values range from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating better specificity. Each estimate will be reported with a 95% confidence interval. The model and label-specific classification thresholds will be fixed using the development cohort before independent validation and will not be adjusted using validation data.

    Measured: Baseline (at enrollment in the independent validation cohort).

  3. Label-Specific Accuracy of the Diagnostic Model in the Independent Validation Cohort

    Accuracy will be calculated separately for the depressive disorder, anxiety disorder, and bipolar disorder labels, with reference diagnoses established by psychiatrists using MINI interviews and clinical diagnostic assessment. Each label will be evaluated as a separate binary outcome, allowing co-occurring diagnoses according to diagnostic criteria. Label-specific accuracy is the sum of true positives and true negatives divided by the number of participants evaluated for that label. Values range from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating better accuracy. Each estimate will be reported with a 95% confidence interval. The model and label-specific classification thresholds will be fixed using the development cohort before independent validation and will not be adjusted using validation data.

    Measured: Baseline (at enrollment in the independent validation cohort).

  4. Positive Predictive Value of the Diagnostic Model in the Independent Validation Cohort

    Positive predictive value will be calculated separately for the depressive disorder, anxiety disorder, and bipolar disorder labels, with reference diagnoses established by psychiatrists using MINI interviews and clinical diagnostic assessment. Each label will be evaluated as a separate binary outcome, allowing co-occurring diagnoses according to diagnostic criteria. Positive predictive value is the number of true positives divided by the sum of true positives and false positives. Values range from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating better positive predictive value. Each estimate will be reported with a 95% confidence interval. The model and label-specific classification thresholds will be fixed using the development cohort before independent validation and will not be adjusted using validation data.

    Measured: Baseline (at enrollment in the independent validation cohort).

  5. Negative Predictive Value of the Diagnostic Model in the Independent Validation Cohort

    Negative predictive value will be calculated separately for the depressive disorder, anxiety disorder, and bipolar disorder labels, with reference diagnoses established by psychiatrists using MINI interviews and clinical diagnostic assessment. Each label will be evaluated as a separate binary outcome, allowing co-occurring diagnoses according to diagnostic criteria. Negative predictive value is the number of true negatives divided by the sum of true negatives and false negatives. Values range from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating better negative predictive value. Each estimate will be reported with a 95% confidence interval. The model and label-specific classification thresholds will be fixed using the development cohort before independent validation and will not be adjusted using validation data.

    Measured: Baseline (at enrollment in the independent validation cohort).

  6. Change From Baseline in Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) Score

    Depressive symptom severity will be assessed using the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9). Total scores range from 0 to 27, with higher scores indicating more severe depressive symptoms. The outcome is the change in total score at each follow-up assessment relative to baseline, calculated as the follow-up score minus the baseline score. Negative changes indicate improvement.

    Measured: Baseline and 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months after baseline.

  7. Change From Baseline in Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7) Score

    Anxiety symptom severity will be assessed using the 7-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder scale (GAD-7). Total scores range from 0 to 21, with higher scores indicating more severe anxiety symptoms. The outcome is the change in total score at each follow-up assessment relative to baseline, calculated as the follow-up score minus the baseline score. Negative changes indicate improvement.

    Measured: Baseline and 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months after baseline.

  8. Mean Absolute Error of Baseline HAMD-17 Score Estimation in the Independent Validation Cohort

    The model will use baseline multimodal digital phenotyping data to estimate the concurrently assessed 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD-17) total score. Performance will be evaluated in the independent validation cohort using clinician-rated HAMD-17 scores as the reference. Mean absolute error (MAE) will be calculated as the mean absolute difference between model-estimated and observed HAMD-17 total scores, expressed in HAMD-17 score points. Lower values indicate better estimation accuracy. Model development, feature selection, and parameter tuning will be completed in the development cohort, and the model will be locked before independent validation.

    Measured: Baseline (at enrollment in the independent validation cohort).

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted29 Oct 2026
  2. Study start15 Sep 2026
  3. Primary completion31 Dec 2030 (estimated)
  4. Study completion31 Dec 2030 (estimated)

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrolment
2,690 participants (estimated)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT07903246
Sponsor's protocol ID
2025-0296
Other IDs
2026C01012
Status last verified
Sep 2026
First submitted
7 Oct 2026
Last updated
29 Oct 2026
Results posted
No
Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
Individual data sharing
Undecided

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of Anxiety Disorders and Depressive Disorder, run by Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine at 1 site in China.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 21 inclusion and 13 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: looking for participants now, as of the sponsor's last update on 29 Oct 2026. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

Where is the study taking place?

The record lists 1 site in China. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

This study is still under way. Results are not available in the source record yet.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

Contact Ming Zheng, PhD (+8619550211701, mingzheng17@hotmail.com), or a site near the patient. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

Macro-Averaged Area Under the ROC Curve of the Multimodal Digital Phenotyping-Based Diagnostic Model in the Independent Validation Cohort (time frame: Baseline (at enrollment in the independent validation cohort).). The study lists 4 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 29 Oct 2026.

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