Alpha-1-antitrypsin DeficiencyFLARENCT07715617
Development of a Prediction Score for the Occurrence of Death or Lung Transplantation in Patients With Emphysema Secondary to Alpha-1-anti-tripsin Deficiency
An observational study of Alpha-1-antitrypsin Deficiency and Emphysema, run by University Hospital, Bordeaux at 4 sites in France.
Trial summary
Emphysema linked to alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency (DAAT): towards a better prediction of risks Emphysema caused by alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency (DAAT) is a rare genetic disorder that can lead to serious complications, such as the need for a lung transplant or death, affecting up to 15% of patients. Read more about this study
- Who is it for?
- Ages 18 years and older
- Conditions the study is for
- Alpha-1-antitrypsin Deficiency, Emphysema, Artificial Intelligence (AI)
- How many people
- 230 participants
- Where
- 4 sitesFrance
- Study dates
- 16 Feb 2026to 16 Mar 2031
- Phase
- Observational
- Are there results?
- Not yet: the study is under way
Key requirements
Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.
- Ages 18 years and older
- All sexes
- No healthy volunteers
- Adult, Older adult
Study population: The subjects included will be any patients followed and diagnosed between 2010 and 2025 in the pulmonology department for emphysema and COPD secondary to alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency ZZ, Znull, ZMalton, Z and rare mutations, based on the diagnosis of emphysema made from an initial thoracic CT scan (+/- 12 months after diagnosis).
- Inclusion criteria:
- diagnosed between 2010 and 2025
- in the pulmonology department
- diagnosis of emphysema and COPD secondary to alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency ZZ, Znull, ZMalton, Z and rare mutations,
- emphysema according to the initial thoracic CT scan (+/- 12 months after diagnosis).
- Exclusion criteria:
- Age <18 years
- Patient opposed to the use of their data for research purposes
- Patient deprived of liberty by judicial decision
- Patient not affiliated with a social security scheme
- no CT scan available
- no lung function test available the year around CT scan
Trial locations and contacts
4 sites in 1 country. Contact the study team or a site near you to ask about taking part.
France4 sites, 4 recruiting
- Recruiting
Hospices Civils de Lyon
Bron, 69677
Jean-Francois MORNEX, MD, PhD, +334 72 11 80 17, jean-francois.mornex@univ-lyon1.fr
Jean-Francois MORNEX, MD, PhD
- Recruiting
CHU de Lille
Lille, 59000
Olivier LE ROUZIC, MD, PhD, +333 20 16 05 30, Olivier.LEROUZIC@chu-lille.fr
Olivier LE ROUZIC, MD, PhD
- Recruiting
Hôpital BICHAT CLAUDE-BERNARD
Paris, 75018
Vincent BUNEL GOURDY, MD, +331 40 25 61 01, vincent.bunel@aphp.fr
Vincent BUNEL GOURDY, MD
- Recruiting
Bordeaux University Hospital
Pessac, 33600
Maéva ZYSMAN, MD, PhD, +335 57 65 63 38, maeva.zysma@chu-bordeaux.fr
Margot GENAUD, +335 25 35 21 94, margot.genaud@chu-bordeaux.fr
About this study
Emphysema linked to alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency (DAAT): towards a better prediction of risks Emphysema caused by alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency (DAAT) is a rare genetic disorder that can lead to serious complications, such as the need for a lung transplant or death, affecting up to 15% of patients. The only specific treatment available is a weekly infusion of alpha-1-antitrypsin (IV-AAT), an expensive and burdensome therapy.
Currently, there is no reliable model to predict the course of the disease in these patients. Our study, conducted in several French hospitals, aims to develop a prediction tool combining clinical, biological, functional data and advanced medical image analysis (lung CT). This model will make it possible to identify the most at-risk patients, in order to better adapt their care, anticipate transplant needs and avoid unnecessary treatments for low-risk patients.
Ultimately, this approach could also improve access to care for patients who need it most, while optimizing health system resources.
Read the detailed description
Context. Emphysema secondary to alpha-1-anti-trypsin deficiency (AATD) is a genetic rare disease, but with pejorative events such as death or lung transplantation (LT) which affect up to 15% of patients. Aside from standard medical care for COPD management, the only specific treatment as augmentation therapy for severe AATD, is weekly intravenous alpha-1 antitrypsin (IV-AAT) which is still expensive and restrictive. Several prognostic scores for tobacco-related COPD have been developed but, none of them have been validated in AATD, neither have included quantitative chest CT imaging while they have been associated with mortality in emphysema. Therefore, we aim to develop a prediction model combining clinical, biological, functional and quantitative CT data (including radiomics) for mortality or LT to identify at-risk patients with emphysema secondary to AATD.
Methods: From several French hospitals, we'll conduct a multicenter retrospective study based on data collected in usual care among patients over 18-year-old, with an available chest CT. We'll collect clinical data (BMI, mMRC dyspnea scale), respiratory function parameters and quantitative imaging data (including radiomics) from the initial CT from AATD patients secondary to ZZ, Znull, ZMalton, Z and rare mutations. We'll then validate our results on an independent external database from the European AADT cohort (EARCO), with specific dedicated funding.
Perspectives: To develop a prediction model to identify the AATD patients at risk of clinical deterioration, defined by death or LT allowing for personalized care, in order to: 1. anticipate registration on the transplant list, 2. optimize overall management, including pharmacological (IV-AAT) and non-pharmacological management. 3. to avoid cost-prohibitive and constraining IV-AAT infusion for low risk patients For Health policy, finding a way to target high-risk patients may help a better access for IV-AAT to appropriate individuals.
- Conditions
- Alpha-1-antitrypsin Deficiency, Emphysema, Artificial Intelligence (AI), Predictive Learning Models, Mortality Prediction, Lung Transplantation
- Medical subject headings
- alpha 1-Antitrypsin Deficiency, Emphysema
What participants receive
What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.
| Study group | Role | What they receive |
|---|---|---|
| Emphysema secondary to alpha-1-anti-trypsin deficiency (AATD) | The subjects included will be any patients followed and diagnosed between 2010 and 2025 in the pulmonology department for emphysema and COPD secondary to alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency ZZ, Znull, ZMalton, Z and rare mutations, based on the diagnosis of emphysema made from an initial thoracic CT scan (+/- 12 months after diagnosis). |
What is being measured
The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.
Evaluation of vital status
Death within 5 years of emphysema diagnosis.
Measured: 5 years
Evaluation of transplantation status
Lung transplantation within 5 years of emphysema diagnosis.
Measured: 5 years
Timeline
From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.
- First posted20 Jul 2026
- Study start16 Feb 2026
- Primary completion16 Mar 2031 (estimated)
- Study completion16 Mar 2031 (estimated)
Resources
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govThe registry entry this page is built from, with its full change history.
- Publications (6)Papers the sponsor has linked to this study.
- Other trials for Alpha-1-antitrypsin DeficiencyStudies of the same condition, open and under way.
- More trials run by University Hospital, BordeauxThe sponsor's other registered studies.
- What the trial phases meanHow a treatment moves from first tests in people to approval.
More details
For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.
Study design
- Study type
- Observational
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Retrospective
- Enrolment
- 230 participants (estimated)
Sponsor and investigators
- Lead sponsor
- University Hospital, Bordeaux
- Sponsor type
- University, hospital or other
- Responsible party
- Sponsor
IDs, dates and publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT07715617
- Sponsor's protocol ID
- CHUBX 2024/85
- Acronym
- FLARE
- Status last verified
- Jul 2026
- First submitted
- 15 Jul 2026
- Last updated
- 20 Jul 2026
- Results posted
- No
- Data monitoring committee
- No
- FDA-regulated drug
- No
- FDA-regulated device
- No
- Individual data sharing
- Undecided
Publications
Ho ESY, Ellis PR, Kavanagh D, Subramanian D, Stockley RA, Turner AM. Proposal and Validation of the Minimum Clinically Important Difference in Emphysema Progression. Chronic Obstr Pulm Dis. 2025 Mar 27;12(2):109-116. doi: 10.15326/jcopdf.2024.0511.
PubMed 39933559McElvaney NG, Burdon J, Holmes M, Glanville A, Wark PA, Thompson PJ, Hernandez P, Chlumsky J, Teschler H, Ficker JH, Seersholm N, Altraja A, Makitaro R, Chorostowska-Wynimko J, Sanak M, Stoicescu PI, Piitulainen E, Vit O, Wencker M, Tortorici MA, Fries M, Edelman JM, Chapman KR; RAPID Extension Trial Group. Long-term efficacy and safety of alpha1 proteinase inhibitor treatment for emphysema caused by severe alpha1 antitrypsin deficiency: an open-label extension trial (RAPID-OLE). Lancet Respir Med. 2017 Jan;5(1):51-60. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(16)30430-1. Epub 2016 Dec 2.
PubMed 27916480Stolk J, Stockley RA, Piitulainen E, Stoel BC. Relationship between Change in Lung Density and Long-Term Progression of Lung Function. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2015 Jul 1;192(1):114-6. doi: 10.1164/rccm.201502-0370LE. No abstract available.
PubMed 26131993Sieluk J, Levy J, Sandhaus RA, Silverman H, Holm KE, Mullins CD. Costs of Medical Care Among Augmentation Therapy Users and Non-Users with Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency in the United States. Chronic Obstr Pulm Dis. 2018 Nov 8;6(1):6-16. doi: 10.15326/jcopdf.6.1.2017.0187.
PubMed 30775420Gildea TR, Shermock KM, Singer ME, Stoller JK. Cost-effectiveness analysis of augmentation therapy for severe alpha1-antitrypsin deficiency. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2003 May 15;167(10):1387-92. doi: 10.1164/rccm.200209-1035OC. Epub 2003 Feb 5.
PubMed 12574076Fraughen DD, Ghosh AJ, Hobbs BD, Funk GC, Meischl T, Clarenbach CF, Sievi NA, Schmid-Scherzer K, McElvaney OJ, Murphy MP, Roche AD, Clarke L, Strand M, Vafai-Tabrizi F, Kelly G, Gunaratnam C, Carroll TP, McElvaney NG. Augmentation Therapy for Severe Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency Improves Survival and Is Decoupled from Spirometric Decline-A Multinational Registry Analysis. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2023 Nov 1;208(9):964-974. doi: 10.1164/rccm.202305-0863OC.
PubMed 37624745
Study at a glance
From the registry record, last updated by the sponsor on 20 Jul 2026. Recruitment status is as the sponsor reported it: confirm with the study team.
- Official title
- Development of a Prediction Score for the Occurrence of Death or Lung Transplantation in Patients With Emphysema Secondary to Alpha-1-anti-tripsin Deficiency
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT07715617
- Acronym / sponsor ID
- FLARE / CHUBX 2024/85
- Conditions
- Alpha-1-antitrypsin Deficiency, Emphysema, Artificial Intelligence (AI), Predictive Learning Models, Mortality Prediction, Lung Transplantation
- Study type
- Observational
- Recruitment status
- Recruiting
- Enrolment
- 230 participants (estimated)
- Lead sponsor
- University Hospital, BordeauxUniversity, hospital or other
- Study start
- 16 Feb 2026 (actual)
- Primary completion
- 16 Mar 2031 (estimated)
- Study completion
- 16 Mar 2031 (estimated)
- First posted
- 20 Jul 2026 (actual)
- Results
- Not posted in the source record
Clinical summary
The research question as the sponsor registered it. This describes what the study plans to test, not what it found.
Emphysema linked to alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency (DAAT): towards a better prediction of risks Emphysema caused by alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency (DAAT) is a rare genetic disorder that can lead to serious complications, such as the need for a lung transplant or death, affecting up to 15% of patients. The only specific treatment available is a weekly infusion of alpha-1-antitrypsin (IV-AAT), an expensive and burdensome therapy.
Currently, there is no reliable model to predict the course of the disease in these patients. Our study, conducted in several French hospitals, aims to develop a prediction tool combining clinical, biological, functional data and advanced medical image analysis (lung CT). This model will make it possible to identify the most at-risk patients, in order to better adapt their care, anticipate transplant needs and avoid unnecessary treatments for low-risk patients.
Ultimately, this approach could also improve access to care for patients who need it most, while optimizing health system resources.
Detailed description
Context. Emphysema secondary to alpha-1-anti-trypsin deficiency (AATD) is a genetic rare disease, but with pejorative events such as death or lung transplantation (LT) which affect up to 15% of patients. Aside from standard medical care for COPD management, the only specific treatment as augmentation therapy for severe AATD, is weekly intravenous alpha-1 antitrypsin (IV-AAT) which is still expensive and restrictive. Several prognostic scores for tobacco-related COPD have been developed but, none of them have been validated in AATD, neither have included quantitative chest CT imaging while they have been associated with mortality in emphysema. Therefore, we aim to develop a prediction model combining clinical, biological, functional and quantitative CT data (including radiomics) for mortality or LT to identify at-risk patients with emphysema secondary to AATD.
Methods: From several French hospitals, we'll conduct a multicenter retrospective study based on data collected in usual care among patients over 18-year-old, with an available chest CT. We'll collect clinical data (BMI, mMRC dyspnea scale), respiratory function parameters and quantitative imaging data (including radiomics) from the initial CT from AATD patients secondary to ZZ, Znull, ZMalton, Z and rare mutations. We'll then validate our results on an independent external database from the European AADT cohort (EARCO), with specific dedicated funding.
Perspectives: To develop a prediction model to identify the AATD patients at risk of clinical deterioration, defined by death or LT allowing for personalized care, in order to: 1. anticipate registration on the transplant list, 2. optimize overall management, including pharmacological (IV-AAT) and non-pharmacological management. 3. to avoid cost-prohibitive and constraining IV-AAT infusion for low risk patients For Health policy, finding a way to target high-risk patients may help a better access for IV-AAT to appropriate individuals.
Study design
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Retrospective
- Number of arms
- 1
| Arm | Type | Receives |
|---|---|---|
| Emphysema secondary to alpha-1-anti-trypsin deficiency (AATD) | – | –The subjects included will be any patients followed and diagnosed between 2010 and 2025 in the pulmonology department for emphysema and COPD secondary to alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency ZZ, Znull, ZMalton, Z and rare mutations, based on the diagnosis of emphysema made from an initial thoracic CT scan (+/- 12 months after diagnosis). |
Who may qualify
- Ages
- 18 years and older
- Sex
- All
- Healthy volunteers
- Not accepted
- Age groups
- Adult, Older adult
- Study population
- The subjects included will be any patients followed and diagnosed between 2010 and 2025 in the pulmonology department for emphysema and COPD secondary to alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency ZZ, Znull, ZMalton, Z and rare mutations, based on the diagnosis of emphysema made from an initial thoracic CT scan (+/- 12 months after diagnosis).
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening; this overview does not establish that a patient qualifies. Full inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Primary outcome
Evaluation of vital status
Time frame: 5 years
Death within 5 years of emphysema diagnosis.
Evaluation of transplantation status
Time frame: 5 years
Lung transplantation within 5 years of emphysema diagnosis.
Results and safety
This study is still under way. Results are not available in the source record yet.
Research links
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govLast updated by the sponsor 20 Jul 2026.
- Background: PubMed 39933559Ho ESY, Ellis PR, Kavanagh D, Subramanian D, Stockley RA, Turner AM. Proposal and Validation of the Minimum Clinically Important Difference in Emphysema Progression. Chronic Obstr Pulm Dis. 2025 Mar 27;12(2):109-116. doi: 10.15326/jcopdf.2024.0511.
- Background: PubMed 27916480McElvaney NG, Burdon J, Holmes M, Glanville A, Wark PA, Thompson PJ, Hernandez P, Chlumsky J, Teschler H, Ficker JH, Seersholm N, Altraja A, Makitaro R, Chorostowska-Wynimko J, Sanak M, Stoicescu PI, Piitulainen E, Vit O, Wencker M, Tortorici MA, Fries M, Edelman JM, Chapman KR; RAPID Extension Trial Group. Long-term efficacy and safety of alpha1 proteinase inhibitor treatment for emphysema caused by severe alpha1 antitrypsin deficiency: an open-label extension trial (RAPID-OLE). Lancet Respir Med. 2017 Jan;5(1):51-60. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(16)30430-1. Epub 2016 Dec 2.
- Background: PubMed 26131993Stolk J, Stockley RA, Piitulainen E, Stoel BC. Relationship between Change in Lung Density and Long-Term Progression of Lung Function. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2015 Jul 1;192(1):114-6. doi: 10.1164/rccm.201502-0370LE. No abstract available.
- Background: PubMed 30775420Sieluk J, Levy J, Sandhaus RA, Silverman H, Holm KE, Mullins CD. Costs of Medical Care Among Augmentation Therapy Users and Non-Users with Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency in the United States. Chronic Obstr Pulm Dis. 2018 Nov 8;6(1):6-16. doi: 10.15326/jcopdf.6.1.2017.0187.
- Background: PubMed 12574076Gildea TR, Shermock KM, Singer ME, Stoller JK. Cost-effectiveness analysis of augmentation therapy for severe alpha1-antitrypsin deficiency. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2003 May 15;167(10):1387-92. doi: 10.1164/rccm.200209-1035OC. Epub 2003 Feb 5.
- Background: PubMed 37624745Fraughen DD, Ghosh AJ, Hobbs BD, Funk GC, Meischl T, Clarenbach CF, Sievi NA, Schmid-Scherzer K, McElvaney OJ, Murphy MP, Roche AD, Clarke L, Strand M, Vafai-Tabrizi F, Kelly G, Gunaratnam C, Carroll TP, McElvaney NG. Augmentation Therapy for Severe Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency Improves Survival and Is Decoupled from Spirometric Decline-A Multinational Registry Analysis. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2023 Nov 1;208(9):964-974. doi: 10.1164/rccm.202305-0863OC.
- Individual participant dataSharing planned: Undecided
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Referral and contact
AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals. Contact the study team or a site listed below; they decide who can take part.
4 sites in 1 country: see every site and its status.
Questions about this trial
What is this clinical trial studying?
An observational study of Alpha-1-antitrypsin Deficiency and Emphysema, run by University Hospital, Bordeaux at 4 sites in France.
The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.
Who may be eligible to take part?
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.
Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?
The record says: looking for participants now, as of the sponsor's last update on 20 Jul 2026. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.
Where is the study taking place?
The record lists 4 sites in France. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.
What are the possible benefits and risks?
They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.
Are results available for this study?
This study is still under way. Results are not available in the source record yet.
How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?
Contact Maéva ZYSMAN, MD, PhD (+335 57 65 63 38, maeva.zysma@chu-bordeaux.fr), or a site near the patient. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.
What does the primary outcome measure?
Evaluation of vital status (time frame: 5 years). The study lists 2 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.
Where can I read the original study information?
On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT07715617, which also lists 6 linked publications.
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?
No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.
How often is this information updated?
AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 20 Jul 2026.