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Allergic Bronchopulmonary Aspergillosis (ABPA)NCT07611838

Multi-Omics Inflammatory Phenotype for ABPA Recurrence Risk Prediction

An observational study of Allergic Bronchopulmonary Aspergillosis (ABPA) and Machine Learning, run by Qianfoshan Hospital at 1 site in China.

Recruiting

Looking for participants now. Contact the study team or a site below to ask about taking part.

Sites and contacts
Official record

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Trial summary

To develop and externally validate a machine learning model for predicting the 1-year risk of relapse in patients with stable ABPA, and to further evaluate its value in risk stratification and clinical decision-making. Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 18 to 80 years
How many people
300 participants
Where
1 siteChina
Study dates
1 Jan 2021to 31 Dec 2028
Phase
Observational

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 18 to 80 years
  • All sexes
  • No healthy volunteers
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: 1)Female and Male patients aged 18-75 years inclusively at the time of Visit 1 with a physician diagnosis of Allergic Bronchopulmonary Aspergillosis has met the ISHAM Working Group Diagnostic Criteria for ABPA 2)These patients who were clearly diagnosed with ABPA are currently in stable phase

Who may be able to join

  • Female and Male patients aged 18-80 years
  • diagnosis of Allergic Bronchopulmonary Aspergillosis ABPA accroding to the 2024 ISHAM Working Group Diagnostic Criteria

Who cannot join

  • Patients with malignant tumors or severe organ dysfunction (e.g., cardiac, cerebral, renal, etc.)
  • Patients with severe comorbidities, including active pulmonary tuberculosis, lung cancer, chronic heart failure (NYHA class Ⅳ), chronic kidney disease (CKD stage 5), decompensated cirrhosis, etc.
  • Patients with immunosuppressive status, such as HIV infection, long-term use of oral corticosteroids or immunosuppressive agents.
  • Pregnant or lactating women.
  • Patients with missing key data or incomplete medical records.

Trial locations and contacts

1 site in 1 country. Contact the study team or a site near you to ask about taking part.

China1 site, 1 recruiting
  • Department of Respiratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, #16766, Jingshi Road, Jinan City, Shandong Province, China, Jinan, Shandong 250014

    Jinan, Shandong, 250014

    Qian Qi, Dr., +86 13706380314, qiqianqlh@163.com

    Recruiting

Other trials in China

About this study

Official title: Multi-Omics Data-Derived Inflammatory Phenotype for ABPA Recurrence Risk Prediction: A Multicenter Study

To develop and externally validate a machine learning model for predicting the 1-year risk of relapse in patients with stable ABPA, and to further evaluate its value in risk stratification and clinical decision-making.

Read the detailed description

This project aims to develop an inflammatory phenotype-based risk prediction model for recurrence of allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis (ABPA) to enable stratified patient management. The study integrates multidimensional data sources, including radiomics, mycobiomics, inflammatory biomarkers, pulmonary function parameters, and routine clinical records. Deep machine learning algorithms are employed to extract and select key features from these multi-omics and clinical datasets, define inflammatory phenotypes, and subsequently construct a recurrence risk prediction model. Based on the risk stratification derived from the model, low-risk individuals will receive regular follow-up, whereas high-risk individuals will undergo intensified intervention and management. This approach is expected to optimize individualized treatment strategies for ABPA patients, reduce recurrence rates, and improve clinical outcomes.

Keywords
Allergic Bronchopulmonary Aspergillosis, Relapse, Machine Learning, Multicenter Study, Multi-omics
Medical subject headings
Aspergillosis, Allergic Bronchopulmonary, Recurrence

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

Study groups in NCT07611838
Study groupRoleWhat they receive
ABPA recurrence group and No ABPA recurrence groupPatients with stable ABPA who visited multicenter hospitals between January 2021 and January 2025 were enrolled and followed up for one year. Based on the definition of ABPA relapse, they were categorized into a relapse group and a non-relapse group. Key features from medical records, inflammatory markers, fungal omics, radiomics, and pulmonary function tests were selected for model development.

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Recurrent disease occurs in patients during the remission period.

    Observe whether disease recurrence occurs in ABPA patients who have reached stable phase after treatment.

    Stable Phase:

    1. Symptomatic improvement by at least 50% (on a Likert or visual analog scale) after eight weeks; and,
    2. Major radiological improvement (>50% reduction in radiologic opacities) or decline in serum total IgE by at least 20% after eight weeks of treatment.

    Exacerbation/Recurrence: In a patient with diagnosed ABPA

    1. Sustained (>14 days) clinical worsening, or
    2. Radiological worsening, and
    3. Increase in serum total IgE by ≥50% from the last recorded IgE value during clinical stability, along with
    4. Exclusion of other causes of worsening.

    Measured: 1 year

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted28 May 2026
  2. Study start1 Jan 2021
  3. Primary completion31 Dec 2028 (estimated)
  4. Study completion31 Dec 2028 (estimated)

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrolment
300 participants (estimated)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT07611838
Sponsor's protocol ID
ABPA-004
Status last verified
May 2026
First submitted
21 May 2026
Last updated
1 Jun 2026
Results posted
No
Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
Individual data sharing
No

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