FrailtyFORECASTNCT05509036
Frailty, Outcomes, Recovery and Care Steps of Critically Ill Patients (FORECAST) Study Multi-Center Study
An observational study of Frailty and Critical Illness, run by Dr. John Muscedere at 11 sites in Canada.
Trial summary
A prospective observational study of critically ill patients over the age of 50, studying the occurrence of frailty as measured by a variety of frailty measures, processes of care and long term outcomes. Read more about this study
- Who is it for?
- Ages 50 years and older
- Conditions the study is for
- Frailty, Critical Illness
- How many people
- 700 participants
- Where
- 11 sitesCanada
- Study dates
- 1 Sep 2019to 1 Jun 2022
- Phase
- Observational
- Are there results?
- None posted in the registry
Key requirements
Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.
- Ages 50 years and older
- All sexes
- No healthy volunteers
- Adult, Older adult
Study population: Critically ill patients over the age of 50 receiving life support interventions in the Intensive Care Unit
Who may be able to join
- Must Meet both 1 and 2
- 1. Age > 50 years. We have selected >50 years in keeping with prior descriptions of critically ill patients [17].
- 2. Receipt of at least one of the following life support interventions for over 24 hours:
- Mechanical ventilation: Both invasive and non-invasive either solely or in combination are acceptable. High flow oxygen (e.g. OPTIFLOW) as a form of Non-Invasive Ventilation (NIV) is acceptable but the patient's Fraction of Inspired Oxygen (FIO2) at the time of enrollment must be greater > 50%.
- Vasoactive medications (vasopressors or inotropes).
- Acute renal replacement therapy (RRT). Patient must have been admitted to ICU for the receipt of renal replacement therapy, either intermittent or continuous and after 24 hours of ICU admission, there is a continued need for further RRT.
Who cannot join
- ICU admission greater than 5 days at the time of enrollment.
- Expected to survive for less than 72 hours after study enrollment.
- No family or caregivers available to collect collateral history.
- Family or caregivers not able to speak English or French.
- Projected inability to complete 6 month follow-up either by telephone or in-person.
Trial locations and contacts
11 sites in 1 country.
11 sites in 1 country
Canada11 sites
University of Alberta
Edmonton, Alberta
Dalhousie University - QEII
Halifax, Ontario
St Joe's Hamilton
Hamilton, Ontario
Kingston Health Sciences Center
Kingston, Ontario, K7L2V7
Laval University
Laval, Quebec
London Health Sciences Centre
London, Ontario
Hôpital du Sacré-Cœur de Montréal
Montreal, Quebec
Maisonneuve Rosemont
Montreal, Quebec
McGill University
Montreal, Quebec
The Ottawa Hospital
Ottawa, Ontario
Mount Sinai Hospital
Toronto, Ontario
About this study
Official title: Frailty, Outcomes, Recovery and Care Steps of Critically Ill Patients (FORECAST) Multi-Center Study
A prospective observational study of critically ill patients over the age of 50, studying the occurrence of frailty as measured by a variety of frailty measures, processes of care and long term outcomes.
Read the detailed description
Frailty is common in critically ill elderly patients, and is associated with adverse impacts on outcomes and is becoming increasingly common in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) populations. However it is not clear as to how to best measure frailty and when to do so. It is also not clear as to how processes of care impact on the outcomes observed. We hypothesize that frailty in survivors of critical illness will be measurable at hospital discharge, will correlate with processes of care while in ICU and will better discriminate long term outcomes when compared to severity of illness or the degree of frailty present on ICU admission.
- Conditions
- Frailty, Critical Illness
- Being tested
- No interventions
- Keywords
- Outcomes, Frailty
- Medical subject headings
- Frailty, Critical Illness
What participants receive
What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.
No interventionsOther
No interventions
| Study group | Role | What they receive |
|---|---|---|
| Critically ill patients | Critically ill adults > 50 admitted to the ICU and receiving a life support intervention Receives: Other: No interventions |
What is being measured
The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.
Frailty status
Frailty as measured with the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS). CFS is a 9 point scale with frailty defined as a CFS > 4 with higher scores indicating greater degrees of frailty.
Measured: 6 Months
Frailty status
Frailty as measured with the Frailty Index (FI). The FI is indicated by the proportion of deficits present over the number measured and is scored as a fraction between 0 and 1.0. Frailty is considered to be present when the FI is > 0.20 and the severity of frailty is considered higher with increasing values for the FI.
Measured: 6 Months
Secondary outcomes (4)
Number of patients with a measure of frailty prior to hospital discharge.
Measure of the Frailty Index and Clinical Frailty Scale prior to discharge
Measured: 28 days
Correlation of frailty severity at hospital discharge with long term outcomes (mortality, Quality of Life and Need for Institutionalization)
Clinical outcomes at 6 months will include mortality, Quality of Life (EQ5L) and need for Institutionalization
Measured: 6 months
Impact of admission critical illness on the development and severity of frailty as measured by a Frailty Index or Clinical Frailty Scale
Correlation with the progression or presence of frailty as measured with the Frailty Index or Clinical Frailty Scale
Measured: 28 days and 6 months
Correlation of ICU processes of care (nutritional adequacy, adverse events, mobilization and sedation) with frailty progression as measured by the Clinical Frailty Scale or Frailty Index
Correlation of processes of care in ICU with frailty progression
Measured: 28 days
Timeline
From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.
- First posted19 Aug 2022
- Study start1 Sep 2019
- Primary completion1 Dec 2021
- Study completion1 Jun 2022
Resources
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govThe registry entry this page is built from, with its full change history.
- Publications (1)Papers the sponsor has linked to this study.
- Other trials for FrailtyStudies of the same condition, open and under way.
- What the trial phases meanHow a treatment moves from first tests in people to approval.
More details
For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.
Study design
- Study type
- Observational
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Prospective
- Enrolment
- 700 participants (actual)
Sponsor and investigators
- Lead sponsor
- Dr. John Muscedere
- Sponsor type
- University, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- Canadian Frailty Network
- Responsible party
- Sponsor-investigator, Dr. John Muscedere, Queen's University
- Investigators
- John Muscedere, MD, Principal investigator, Queens University
IDs, dates and publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT05509036
- Sponsor's protocol ID
- FORECAST, V4 - June 7, 2019
- Acronym
- FORECAST
- Status last verified
- Sep 2023
- First submitted
- 17 Aug 2022
- Last updated
- 11 Dec 2023
- Results posted
- No
- Data monitoring committee
- No
- FDA-regulated drug
- No
- FDA-regulated device
- No
- Individual data sharing
- No
Publications
Muscedere J, Bagshaw SM, Kho M, Mehta S, Cook DJ, Boyd JG, Sibley S, Wang HT, Archambault PM, Albert M, Rewa OG, Ball I, Norman PA, Day AG, Hunt M, Loubani O, Mele T, Sarti AJ, Shahin J; Canadian Critical Care Trials Group. Frailty, Outcomes, Recovery and Care Steps of Critically Ill Patients (FORECAST): a prospective, multi-centre, cohort study. Intensive Care Med. 2024 Jul;50(7):1064-1074. doi: 10.1007/s00134-024-07404-9. Epub 2024 May 15.
PubMed 38748266
Study at a glance
From the registry record, last updated by the sponsor on 11 Dec 2023. Recruitment status is as the sponsor reported it: confirm with the study team.
- Official title
- Frailty, Outcomes, Recovery and Care Steps of Critically Ill Patients (FORECAST) Multi-Center Study
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT05509036
- Acronym / sponsor ID
- FORECAST / FORECAST, V4 - June 7, 2019
- Conditions
- Frailty, Critical Illness
- Keywords
- Outcomes, Frailty
- Study type
- Observational
- Recruitment status
- Completed
- Enrolment
- 700 participants (actual)
- Lead sponsor
- Dr. John MuscedereUniversity, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- Canadian Frailty Network
- Study start
- 1 Sep 2019 (actual)
- Primary completion
- 1 Dec 2021 (actual)
- Study completion
- 1 Jun 2022 (actual)
- First posted
- 19 Aug 2022 (actual)
- Results
- Not posted in the source record
Clinical summary
The research question as the sponsor registered it. This describes what the study plans to test, not what it found.
A prospective observational study of critically ill patients over the age of 50, studying the occurrence of frailty as measured by a variety of frailty measures, processes of care and long term outcomes.
Detailed description
Frailty is common in critically ill elderly patients, and is associated with adverse impacts on outcomes and is becoming increasingly common in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) populations. However it is not clear as to how to best measure frailty and when to do so. It is also not clear as to how processes of care impact on the outcomes observed. We hypothesize that frailty in survivors of critical illness will be measurable at hospital discharge, will correlate with processes of care while in ICU and will better discriminate long term outcomes when compared to severity of illness or the degree of frailty present on ICU admission.
Study design
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Prospective
- Number of arms
- 1
| Arm | Type | Receives |
|---|---|---|
| Critically ill patients | – | Other: No interventionsCritically ill adults > 50 admitted to the ICU and receiving a life support intervention |
Who may qualify
- Ages
- 50 years and older
- Sex
- All
- Healthy volunteers
- Not accepted
- Age groups
- Adult, Older adult
- Study population
- Critically ill patients over the age of 50 receiving life support interventions in the Intensive Care Unit
Key inclusion criteria (6 listed)
- Must Meet both 1 and 2
- 1. Age > 50 years. We have selected >50 years in keeping with prior descriptions of critically ill patients [17].
- 2. Receipt of at least one of the following life support interventions for over 24 hours:
Key exclusion criteria (5 listed)
- ICU admission greater than 5 days at the time of enrollment.
- Expected to survive for less than 72 hours after study enrollment.
- No family or caregivers available to collect collateral history.
- Family or caregivers not able to speak English or French.
- Projected inability to complete 6 month follow-up either by telephone or in-person.
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening; this overview does not establish that a patient qualifies. Full inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Interventions
| Intervention | Type | Arms |
|---|---|---|
| No interventionsNo interventions | Other | Critically ill patients |
Primary outcome
Frailty status
Time frame: 6 Months
Frailty as measured with the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS). CFS is a 9 point scale with frailty defined as a CFS > 4 with higher scores indicating greater degrees of frailty.
Frailty status
Time frame: 6 Months
Frailty as measured with the Frailty Index (FI). The FI is indicated by the proportion of deficits present over the number measured and is scored as a fraction between 0 and 1.0. Frailty is considered to be present when the FI is > 0.20 and the severity of frailty is considered higher with increasing values for the FI.
4 secondary outcomes
Number of patients with a measure of frailty prior to hospital discharge.
Time frame: 28 days
Correlation of frailty severity at hospital discharge with long term outcomes (mortality, Quality of Life and Need for Institutionalization)
Time frame: 6 months
Impact of admission critical illness on the development and severity of frailty as measured by a Frailty Index or Clinical Frailty Scale
Time frame: 28 days and 6 months
Correlation of ICU processes of care (nutritional adequacy, adverse events, mobilization and sedation) with frailty progression as measured by the Clinical Frailty Scale or Frailty Index
Time frame: 28 days
Results and safety
The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.
Research links
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govLast updated by the sponsor 11 Dec 2023.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 38748266Muscedere J, Bagshaw SM, Kho M, Mehta S, Cook DJ, Boyd JG, Sibley S, Wang HT, Archambault PM, Albert M, Rewa OG, Ball I, Norman PA, Day AG, Hunt M, Loubani O, Mele T, Sarti AJ, Shahin J; Canadian Critical Care Trials Group. Frailty, Outcomes, Recovery and Care Steps of Critically Ill Patients (FORECAST): a prospective, multi-centre, cohort study. Intensive Care Med. 2024 Jul;50(7):1064-1074. doi: 10.1007/s00134-024-07404-9. Epub 2024 May 15.
- Individual participant dataSharing planned: No
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Referral and contact
AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals. Contact the study team or a site listed below; they decide who can take part. This study is not recruiting at the moment.
John Muscedere, MD principal investigator
Queens University
11 sites in 1 country: see every site and its status.
Questions about this trial
What is this clinical trial studying?
An observational study of Frailty and Critical Illness, run by Dr. John Muscedere at 11 sites in Canada.
The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.
Who may be eligible to take part?
The sponsor lists 6 inclusion and 5 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.
Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?
The record says: finished, as of the sponsor's last update on 11 Dec 2023. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.
Where is the study taking place?
The record lists 11 sites in Canada. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.
What are the possible benefits and risks?
They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.
Are results available for this study?
The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.
How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?
The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.
What does the primary outcome measure?
Frailty status (time frame: 6 Months). The study lists 2 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.
Where can I read the original study information?
On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT05509036, which also lists 1 linked publication.
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?
No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.
How often is this information updated?
AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 11 Dec 2023.