Covid19Predi-COVIDNCT04380987
Luxembourg Cohort of Positive Patients for COVID-19: a Stratification Study to Predict Patient Prognosis
An observational study of Covid19, run by Luxembourg Institute of Health at 1 site in Luxembourg.
Trial summary
Predi-COVID is a prospective cohort study composed of people positively tested for COVID-19 in Luxembourg, followed digitally for monitoring participants' health evolution and symptoms at home. Read more about this study
- Who is it for?
- Ages 18 years and older
- Conditions the study is for
- Covid19
- What is being tested?
- Biological sampling
- How many people
- 1,366 participants
- Where
- 1 siteLuxembourg
- Study dates
- 4 May 2020to 30 Sep 2024
- Phase
- Observational
- Are there results?
- None posted in the registry
Key requirements
Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.
- Ages 18 years and older
- All sexes
- No healthy volunteers
- Adult, Older adult
Study population: Adult (≥18 years old) patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, hospitalized or at home.
Who may be able to join
- SARS-CoV-2 infection as determined by PCR, performed by one of the certified laboratories in Luxembourg
- Signed informed consent form
- Age ≥18 years old
- Hospitalized or at home
Who cannot join
- Patients not understanding French or German
- Patients already included in an interventional study on Covid-19 (Discovery or other)
Trial locations and contacts
1 site in 1 country.
About this study
Predi-COVID is a prospective cohort study composed of people positively tested for COVID-19 in Luxembourg, followed digitally for monitoring participants' health evolution and symptoms at home. Participants will be actively followed for 14 days from the time of confirmation of diagnosis, whether they are at the hospital or at home in isolation or quarantine. Short evaluations will be also performed at week 3 and week 4 and then monthly for a period up to 12 months to assess potential long term consequences of COVID-19. A subsample of 200 participants will be contacted to integrate complementary clinical data and collect samples.
The study aims at identifying factors associated with the COVID-19 disease severity. COVID-19 patients with severity criteria will be compared to patients with mild disease managed at home.
A deep phenotyping related to the symptoms of the disease as well as biosampling allowing for laboratory-based and computational analytics will be performed.
Read the detailed description
The objective is to recruit virtually all COVID-19 positive persons in Luxembourg.
The sub-sample of a minimum of 200 COVID-19 positive persons in Predi-COVID study would allow to find a risk ratio of severe disease above 2 for the selected risk factor with a power of 80% when the prevalence of the disease is above 7%.
For every symptomatic adult tested positive by RTqPCR, biological samples will be collected at the inclusion and as follow-up 3 weeks after inclusion.
For patients at home, an experienced nurse from CIEC will perform the sampling, using all the required precautions and protections in the actual context.
For hospitalised patients, a simplified sampling strategy will be put in place and adapted to the patient state, the workload of staff and adapted constantly depending on the evolution of the epidemy.
Data will be collected through 3 different ways :
- Questionnaires : health status monitoring data with daily questionnaires during the 14 first days following diagnosis, weekly questionnaires at week 3 and 4 and monthly questionnaires from month 2 to month 12.
- Adapted ISARIC eCRF for patients at hospital (during all hospital stay) and at inclusion for patients included from home.
- Smartphone application (LIH in-house solution) : innovative data (voice recordings, geolocation and mini-questionnaires).
An ancillary study will be added (Predi-COVID-H):
Predi-COVID-H is an ancillary cohort study composed of Household members of index cases to monitor symptoms and disease outbreak in this high-risk population. For every asymptomatic member of the family of a "case" included in the Predi-COVID sub-sample (a "contact"), clinical as well as socio-economic characteristics will be collected. Biological samples will also be collected at the same time as the "case" visit by nurses and up to 30 ml of blood will be taken at baseline, for serology. IgG and/or IgA seropositive "contacts" will be proposed to be enrolled in the Predi-COVID study. For IgG and IgA seronegative "contacts", a second serology will be planned 2 weeks later, up to 30 mL of blood will be collected. If they become IgG and/or IgA seropositive, they will be proposed to be enrolled in the Predi-COVID study. IgG and IgA seronegative "contacts" will be followed digitally
- Conditions
- Covid19
- Being tested
- Biological sampling
- Keywords
- Severity factors, Patient stratification, Digital
- Medical subject headings
- COVID-19
What participants receive
What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.
Biological samplingBiological
For every symptomatic adult tested positive by RTqPCR, up to 45 mL of blood will be taken, nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab will be performed, an induced sputum and a stool samples will be recovered at the inclusion. As follow-up, 3 weeks after inclusion, up to 45 mL of blood will be taken and a new induced sputum will be recovered.
| Study group | Role | What they receive |
|---|---|---|
| Predicovid | Not described Receives: Biological: Biological sampling |
What is being measured
The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.
Description of clinical manifestations
Number of symptoms associated with Covid-19
Measured: 1 year
Secondary outcomes (10)
Clinical aggravation of the infection
Number of hospitalizations
Measured: 1 year
Discharge of hospitalization
Number of discharges
Measured: 1 year
Death
Number of deaths
Measured: 1 year
Description of biological manifestations
Whole blood count parameters
Measured: 1 year
Description of biological manifestations
Plasma cytokine levels
Measured: 1 year
Description of biological manifestations
Antibodies to SARS-Cov2
Measured: 1 year
Patient-related prognostic factors
HLA genotypes
Measured: 1 year
Patient-related prognostic factors
Coinfections
Measured: 1 year
Virus-related prognostic factors
Virus mutations
Measured: 1 year
Vocal biomarker of Covid-19 related respiratory complications
Audio feature extracted from 30 seconds recordings of participants' voice reading a prespecified text, collected throughout the CoLIVE LIH smartphone app.
Measured: 1 year
Timeline
From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.
- First posted8 May 2020
- Study start4 May 2020
- Primary completion30 Sep 2024
- Study completion30 Sep 2024
Resources
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govThe registry entry this page is built from, with its full change history.
- Publications (6)Papers the sponsor has linked to this study.
- Other trials for Covid19Studies of the same condition, open and under way.
- What the trial phases meanHow a treatment moves from first tests in people to approval.
More details
For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.
Study design
- Study type
- Observational
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Prospective
- Enrolment
- 1,366 participants (actual)
Sponsor and investigators
- Lead sponsor
- Luxembourg Institute of Health
- Sponsor type
- Other government
- Collaborators
- Centre Hospitalier du Luxembourg, Hopitaux Robert Schuman (Luxembourg), Laboratoire National de Santé (Luxembourg), University of Luxembourg
- Responsible party
- Sponsor
IDs, dates and publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT04380987
- Sponsor's protocol ID
- Predi-Covid
- Acronym
- Predi-COVID
- Status last verified
- Aug 2025
- First submitted
- 30 Apr 2020
- Last updated
- 9 Sep 2025
- Results posted
- No
- Data monitoring committee
- No
- FDA-regulated drug
- No
- FDA-regulated device
- No
Publications
Fischer A, Zhang L, Elbeji A, Wilmes P, Snoeck CJ, Larche J, Oustric P, Ollert M, Fagherazzi G. Trajectories of persisting Covid- 19 symptoms up to 24 months after acute infection: findings from the Predi-Covid cohort study. BMC Infect Dis. 2025 Apr 25;25(1):603. doi: 10.1186/s12879-025-11023-0.
PubMed 40281467Elbeji A, Zhang L, Higa E, Fischer A, Despotovic V, Nazarov PV, Aguayo G, Fagherazzi G. Vocal biomarker predicts fatigue in people with COVID-19: results from the prospective Predi-COVID cohort study. BMJ Open. 2022 Nov 22;12(11):e062463. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062463.
PubMed 36414294Higa E, Elbeji A, Zhang L, Fischer A, Aguayo GA, Nazarov PV, Fagherazzi G. Discovery and Analytical Validation of a Vocal Biomarker to Monitor Anosmia and Ageusia in Patients With COVID-19: Cross-sectional Study. JMIR Med Inform. 2022 Nov 8;10(11):e35622. doi: 10.2196/35622.
PubMed 36265042Fischer A, Zhang L, Elbeji A, Wilmes P, Oustric P, Staub T, Nazarov PV, Ollert M, Fagherazzi G. Long COVID Symptomatology After 12 Months and Its Impact on Quality of Life According to Initial Coronavirus Disease 2019 Disease Severity. Open Forum Infect Dis. 2022 Aug 5;9(8):ofac397. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofac397. eCollection 2022 Aug.
PubMed 35983269Malisoux L, Backes A, Fischer A, Aguayo G, Ollert M, Fagherazzi G. Associations between physical activity prior to infection and COVID-19 disease severity and symptoms: results from the prospective Predi-COVID cohort study. BMJ Open. 2022 Apr 29;12(4):e057863. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-057863.
PubMed 35487745Fagherazzi G, Fischer A, Betsou F, Vaillant M, Ernens I, Masi S, Mossong J, Staub T, Brault D, Bahlawane C, Rashid MA, Ollert M, Gantenbein M, Huiart L. Protocol for a prospective, longitudinal cohort of people with COVID-19 and their household members to study factors associated with disease severity: the Predi-COVID study. BMJ Open. 2020 Nov 23;10(11):e041834. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041834.
PubMed 33234656
Study at a glance
From the registry record, last updated by the sponsor on 9 Sep 2025. Recruitment status is as the sponsor reported it: confirm with the study team.
- Official title
- Luxembourg Cohort of Positive Patients for COVID-19: a Stratification Study to Predict Patient Prognosis
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT04380987
- Acronym / sponsor ID
- Predi-COVID / Predi-Covid
- Conditions
- Covid19
- Keywords
- Severity factors, Patient stratification, Digital
- Study type
- Observational
- Recruitment status
- Completed
- Enrolment
- 1,366 participants (actual)
- Lead sponsor
- Luxembourg Institute of HealthOther government
- Collaborators
- Centre Hospitalier du Luxembourg, Hopitaux Robert Schuman (Luxembourg), Laboratoire National de Santé (Luxembourg), University of Luxembourg
- Study start
- 4 May 2020 (actual)
- Primary completion
- 30 Sep 2024 (actual)
- Study completion
- 30 Sep 2024 (actual)
- First posted
- 8 May 2020 (actual)
- Results
- Not posted in the source record
Clinical summary
The research question as the sponsor registered it. This describes what the study plans to test, not what it found.
Predi-COVID is a prospective cohort study composed of people positively tested for COVID-19 in Luxembourg, followed digitally for monitoring participants' health evolution and symptoms at home. Participants will be actively followed for 14 days from the time of confirmation of diagnosis, whether they are at the hospital or at home in isolation or quarantine. Short evaluations will be also performed at week 3 and week 4 and then monthly for a period up to 12 months to assess potential long term consequences of COVID-19. A subsample of 200 participants will be contacted to integrate complementary clinical data and collect samples.
The study aims at identifying factors associated with the COVID-19 disease severity. COVID-19 patients with severity criteria will be compared to patients with mild disease managed at home.
A deep phenotyping related to the symptoms of the disease as well as biosampling allowing for laboratory-based and computational analytics will be performed.
Detailed description
The objective is to recruit virtually all COVID-19 positive persons in Luxembourg.
The sub-sample of a minimum of 200 COVID-19 positive persons in Predi-COVID study would allow to find a risk ratio of severe disease above 2 for the selected risk factor with a power of 80% when the prevalence of the disease is above 7%.
For every symptomatic adult tested positive by RTqPCR, biological samples will be collected at the inclusion and as follow-up 3 weeks after inclusion.
For patients at home, an experienced nurse from CIEC will perform the sampling, using all the required precautions and protections in the actual context.
For hospitalised patients, a simplified sampling strategy will be put in place and adapted to the patient state, the workload of staff and adapted constantly depending on the evolution of the epidemy.
Data will be collected through 3 different ways :
- Questionnaires : health status monitoring data with daily questionnaires during the 14 first days following diagnosis, weekly questionnaires at week 3 and 4 and monthly questionnaires from month 2 to month 12.
- Adapted ISARIC eCRF for patients at hospital (during all hospital stay) and at inclusion for patients included from home.
- Smartphone application (LIH in-house solution) : innovative data (voice recordings, geolocation and mini-questionnaires).
An ancillary study will be added (Predi-COVID-H):
Predi-COVID-H is an ancillary cohort study composed of Household members of index cases to monitor symptoms and disease outbreak in this high-risk population. For every asymptomatic member of the family of a "case" included in the Predi-COVID sub-sample (a "contact"), clinical as well as socio-economic characteristics will be collected. Biological samples will also be collected at the same time as the "case" visit by nurses and up to 30 ml of blood will be taken at baseline, for serology. IgG and/or IgA seropositive "contacts" will be proposed to be enrolled in the Predi-COVID study. For IgG and IgA seronegative "contacts", a second serology will be planned 2 weeks later, up to 30 mL of blood will be collected. If they become IgG and/or IgA seropositive, they will be proposed to be enrolled in the Predi-COVID study. IgG and IgA seronegative "contacts" will be followed digitally
Study design
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Prospective
- Number of arms
- 1
| Arm | Type | Receives |
|---|---|---|
| Predicovid | – | Biological: Biological sampling |
Who may qualify
- Ages
- 18 years and older
- Sex
- All
- Healthy volunteers
- Not accepted
- Age groups
- Adult, Older adult
- Study population
- Adult (≥18 years old) patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, hospitalized or at home.
Key inclusion criteria (4 listed)
- SARS-CoV-2 infection as determined by PCR, performed by one of the certified laboratories in Luxembourg
- Signed informed consent form
- Age ≥18 years old
- Hospitalized or at home
Key exclusion criteria (2 listed)
- Patients not understanding French or German
- Patients already included in an interventional study on Covid-19 (Discovery or other)
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening; this overview does not establish that a patient qualifies. Full inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Interventions
| Intervention | Type | Arms |
|---|---|---|
| Biological samplingFor every symptomatic adult tested positive by RTqPCR, up to 45 mL of blood will be taken, nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab will be performed, an induced sputum and a stool samples will be recovered at the inclusion. As follow-up, 3 weeks after inclusion, up to 45 mL of blood will be taken and a new induced sputum will be recovered. | Biological | Predicovid |
Primary outcome
Description of clinical manifestations
Time frame: 1 year
Number of symptoms associated with Covid-19
10 secondary outcomes
Clinical aggravation of the infection
Time frame: 1 year
Discharge of hospitalization
Time frame: 1 year
Death
Time frame: 1 year
Description of biological manifestations
Time frame: 1 year
Description of biological manifestations
Time frame: 1 year
Description of biological manifestations
Time frame: 1 year
Patient-related prognostic factors
Time frame: 1 year
Patient-related prognostic factors
Time frame: 1 year
Virus-related prognostic factors
Time frame: 1 year
Vocal biomarker of Covid-19 related respiratory complications
Time frame: 1 year
Results and safety
The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.
Research links
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govLast updated by the sponsor 9 Sep 2025.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 40281467Fischer A, Zhang L, Elbeji A, Wilmes P, Snoeck CJ, Larche J, Oustric P, Ollert M, Fagherazzi G. Trajectories of persisting Covid- 19 symptoms up to 24 months after acute infection: findings from the Predi-Covid cohort study. BMC Infect Dis. 2025 Apr 25;25(1):603. doi: 10.1186/s12879-025-11023-0.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 36414294Elbeji A, Zhang L, Higa E, Fischer A, Despotovic V, Nazarov PV, Aguayo G, Fagherazzi G. Vocal biomarker predicts fatigue in people with COVID-19: results from the prospective Predi-COVID cohort study. BMJ Open. 2022 Nov 22;12(11):e062463. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062463.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 36265042Higa E, Elbeji A, Zhang L, Fischer A, Aguayo GA, Nazarov PV, Fagherazzi G. Discovery and Analytical Validation of a Vocal Biomarker to Monitor Anosmia and Ageusia in Patients With COVID-19: Cross-sectional Study. JMIR Med Inform. 2022 Nov 8;10(11):e35622. doi: 10.2196/35622.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 35983269Fischer A, Zhang L, Elbeji A, Wilmes P, Oustric P, Staub T, Nazarov PV, Ollert M, Fagherazzi G. Long COVID Symptomatology After 12 Months and Its Impact on Quality of Life According to Initial Coronavirus Disease 2019 Disease Severity. Open Forum Infect Dis. 2022 Aug 5;9(8):ofac397. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofac397. eCollection 2022 Aug.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 35487745Malisoux L, Backes A, Fischer A, Aguayo G, Ollert M, Fagherazzi G. Associations between physical activity prior to infection and COVID-19 disease severity and symptoms: results from the prospective Predi-COVID cohort study. BMJ Open. 2022 Apr 29;12(4):e057863. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-057863.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 33234656Fagherazzi G, Fischer A, Betsou F, Vaillant M, Ernens I, Masi S, Mossong J, Staub T, Brault D, Bahlawane C, Rashid MA, Ollert M, Gantenbein M, Huiart L. Protocol for a prospective, longitudinal cohort of people with COVID-19 and their household members to study factors associated with disease severity: the Predi-COVID study. BMJ Open. 2020 Nov 23;10(11):e041834. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041834.
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Referral and contact
AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals. Contact the study team or a site listed below; they decide who can take part. This study is not recruiting at the moment.
The record lists no contact. Use the official record to reach the sponsor.
1 site in 1 country: see every site and its status.
Questions about this trial
What is this clinical trial studying?
An observational study of Covid19, run by Luxembourg Institute of Health at 1 site in Luxembourg.
The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.
Who may be eligible to take part?
The sponsor lists 4 inclusion and 2 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.
Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?
The record says: finished, as of the sponsor's last update on 9 Sep 2025. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.
Where is the study taking place?
The record lists 1 site in Luxembourg. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.
What are the possible benefits and risks?
They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.
Are results available for this study?
The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.
How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?
The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.
What does the primary outcome measure?
Description of clinical manifestations (time frame: 1 year). It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.
Where can I read the original study information?
On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT04380987, which also lists 6 linked publications.
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?
No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.
How often is this information updated?
AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 9 Sep 2025.